I dont know much about Egypt but for what we have read about it in school history book and later over the years bits and pieces in new papers more in the context of turmoils in middle east and the tension around Isreal. But everyone knows Egypt as the land of sun, the cradle of civilisation an the mystical pyramids standing, guarding inside the secrets of bygone days.
Events of last week has thrust it in our concious. From far, it seems to be a spontenous march of people asking for change. They seems to have legitimate grivance about Hosni Mubarak for he has ruled over the lation for thirty year and there maynt be much for Egypt to showcase as progress or achievements. However, he has given the country and to some extent the region a sense of stability which is never to be undervalued. It seem to have been undervalued by the masses asking for change.
Any dictatorial regeimes survive on suppresion of opsitions and do wrongs to prolong their tenure. Hosni Mubarkar seem to have been no exception.
But Egyptian people asking for change should have tried taking lessions from around the their region. Tunesia seems to have done the regeime change successfully in shorttem but there are countries like Iran and Iraq qhich find themselves to have got into anarchie or deep abyss fo turmoil, uncertainty and social conflict. Even Tunesia would come face to face of what actually is the result of their mass movement against their ruller in the election slasted later. Indications are there that they could be up for somthing like what Iran got after their revolution to get rid of Shah.
A mass revolution would be ready when there would a credible leader available to fill the vacuum. Philippines's people power was succefful since the widow of a charismatic leader was available as a symbolic force around which people crystalised and she also rose up to the challenge to lead the nation. However, people got a change they wanted but the country didnt change much for the better over last decades since Ramos was banished.
Iran got rid of Shah. Shah was progressive, open and led it in a secular fashion. But forces engineered his ouster and the new order increasingly alienated people and world at large. Theseday, Iran is only in news for its belligerance and utter disregard to try to have a peaceful coexsitance with the world. Its quest for nuclear power should be leggitamate but sometimes nations need to raise itself bit beyound selfish urges for great goods. However, it is phylosophically true but cannt remember any examples of any nation doing it in recent past. However, people do it daily somewhere in their small mundame acts of living.
The scientist was living abroad, he doesnt have mass support or any tangible achievments. He sees his change and land in Cairo to fulfil his desire to head Egypt. The oppsiton musmil brother leaders whose names are no where to seen prove themselves to be able to take mature decision and decide to use the face of it exiled scientist as the one who would leade Egypt. To what, there is no talk. They would know it for sure that they can turn the scientist a puppet and tool to emberke on scocial reengineering.
Change for the sake of change is seldom known to lead to any tangible benefit.
In a nutshell, seems the current regime is the best bet Egypt. Specially now that their displeasure is known and now they should be in a slightly better position to expect some better concessions and deals from Hosni Mubarkar and his cohorts.
This is just a common man's perspective. Barak Obama seem to have concluded that Hosni Mubarkars days are numbered and they are busy jockeying themselves towards the Muslim bortherhood who they believe would be the leading Egypt next. US is not known to be prudent and they could be digging a hole for themselves if Army leans towards Hosni Mubarkar and he survives. Treachery is not tolerated by anyone who has proven to be capable of leading a country like Egypt for 30 years.
So, the world is now guaranteed to have more turmoils in middle east. The level of water in Niles would continue to rise, not from global warmings but from the tear drops of the broken mummies, vandalised for no fault of theirs.
Events of last week has thrust it in our concious. From far, it seems to be a spontenous march of people asking for change. They seems to have legitimate grivance about Hosni Mubarak for he has ruled over the lation for thirty year and there maynt be much for Egypt to showcase as progress or achievements. However, he has given the country and to some extent the region a sense of stability which is never to be undervalued. It seem to have been undervalued by the masses asking for change.
Any dictatorial regeimes survive on suppresion of opsitions and do wrongs to prolong their tenure. Hosni Mubarkar seem to have been no exception.
But Egyptian people asking for change should have tried taking lessions from around the their region. Tunesia seems to have done the regeime change successfully in shorttem but there are countries like Iran and Iraq qhich find themselves to have got into anarchie or deep abyss fo turmoil, uncertainty and social conflict. Even Tunesia would come face to face of what actually is the result of their mass movement against their ruller in the election slasted later. Indications are there that they could be up for somthing like what Iran got after their revolution to get rid of Shah.
A mass revolution would be ready when there would a credible leader available to fill the vacuum. Philippines's people power was succefful since the widow of a charismatic leader was available as a symbolic force around which people crystalised and she also rose up to the challenge to lead the nation. However, people got a change they wanted but the country didnt change much for the better over last decades since Ramos was banished.
Iran got rid of Shah. Shah was progressive, open and led it in a secular fashion. But forces engineered his ouster and the new order increasingly alienated people and world at large. Theseday, Iran is only in news for its belligerance and utter disregard to try to have a peaceful coexsitance with the world. Its quest for nuclear power should be leggitamate but sometimes nations need to raise itself bit beyound selfish urges for great goods. However, it is phylosophically true but cannt remember any examples of any nation doing it in recent past. However, people do it daily somewhere in their small mundame acts of living.
The scientist was living abroad, he doesnt have mass support or any tangible achievments. He sees his change and land in Cairo to fulfil his desire to head Egypt. The oppsiton musmil brother leaders whose names are no where to seen prove themselves to be able to take mature decision and decide to use the face of it exiled scientist as the one who would leade Egypt. To what, there is no talk. They would know it for sure that they can turn the scientist a puppet and tool to emberke on scocial reengineering.
Change for the sake of change is seldom known to lead to any tangible benefit.
In a nutshell, seems the current regime is the best bet Egypt. Specially now that their displeasure is known and now they should be in a slightly better position to expect some better concessions and deals from Hosni Mubarkar and his cohorts.
This is just a common man's perspective. Barak Obama seem to have concluded that Hosni Mubarkars days are numbered and they are busy jockeying themselves towards the Muslim bortherhood who they believe would be the leading Egypt next. US is not known to be prudent and they could be digging a hole for themselves if Army leans towards Hosni Mubarkar and he survives. Treachery is not tolerated by anyone who has proven to be capable of leading a country like Egypt for 30 years.
So, the world is now guaranteed to have more turmoils in middle east. The level of water in Niles would continue to rise, not from global warmings but from the tear drops of the broken mummies, vandalised for no fault of theirs.
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